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Menopausal Mother Nature

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Brecon and Radnor by-election

Although political predictions have been very much awry in recent years I think it is almost certain that the Lib Dems will win back the Brecon and Radnorshire seat in tomorrow’s by election. The seat has often been held by the Liberals and looks destined to go back to them this week.

Chris Davies the former sitting MP whose recall prompted this by-election spoke in favour of driven grouse shooting, and was very rude about me, in the infamous Westminster Hall debate in 2016.

Mr Davies doesn’t seem to be campaigning hard – he hasn’t even turned up to a couple of husting sthat have been held.

If you had a bet on a Lib Dem victory today, and if they win tomorrow, then you could make c6% profit in a single day on Betfair. My money was down a while ago and at considerably better odds than that. So, for various reasons I am hoping for a Lib Dem victory. Boris’s majority, such as it is, will fall even further and with a clearly anti-Brexit new MP. but let’s see what Friday’s news delivers.

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